Thursday, January 19, 2012

NBA Premium Play 01/18: Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics

NBA - 711 Toronto Raptors @ 712 Boston Celtics

Projected line: 172 points
I expect this game to be a low scoring contest, as the preseason games between these two teams were. Toronto will be playing once again without Bargnani and without him, they have no interior game whatsoever on their offense.The Raptors will need to shoot from the outside, where they aren't very strong and where Boston will surely put them under pressure and so, I expect Toronto to highly struggle offensively on this contest.

On the other side, Boston's offense hasn't been clicking well over their last few games and with Toronto's having a great rim defense due to a great team help defense, I expect the Celtics once again to struggle a bit offensively, as their outside game isn't very strong and they are generally dependent from Rondo's penetrations to the basket, something that the Raptors have tools to defend quite well. Therefore, I came up with a projection of 172 points for this contest, low enough for me to take the under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 711/712 Under 176 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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