NBA - 703 Chicago Bulls @ 704 Memphis Grizzlies
Projected line: 181 points
This
is a mega revenge game for the Grizzlies, after being humiliated at
Chicago earlier in the season by 64-108, in a game where they lost Zach
Randolph due to injury and where Mike Conley Jr didn't even play.
Chicago is coming from 3 wins where they held their opponents (WAS,
@BOS, TOR) to 64, 79 and 64 points. However, Memphis is a different team
from these three, as they bring aggressiveness and quickness to the
court. Boston is just too slow, while Toronto and Washington were on
tough back to back spots, so their offenses were easily stopped by the
Bulls defense. But I don't expect the Bulls defense to have such
dominance on this contest, as they will struggle a bit with the speed of
the Grizzlies, as shown by the fact that they are just 15th in
defending transition plays by allowing 1.14 PPP. On the other side,
Chicago is also a team that loves to score fast break points when they
have the opportunity. So, I expect this game to have a good number of
fast break points scored, with a good volume of transition plays.
I don't believe we can take any conclusion from the first game of
this series. Conley was out and the rookie Pargo had to defend Rose and
that was obviously a disaster. With Randolph out due to injury, the
Grizzlies simply gave up on the game after they started to trail big on
the score. I don't believe this will happen once again, as Memphis has
now Conley back and they have adjusted their offense to the absence of
Randolph as well. However, Speights is now starting in the position of
ZBO and he isn't a great defender, so Boozer will surely have an edge
over him.
Chicago is a team that can play at two different kind of paces. They
can run against fast paced teams like GSW (91.28 pace), SAC (93.80) or
MIN (93.27) or play slow against slow paced teams. Without Randolph, I'm
sure Memphis will try to set a quick pace on this game, as they have no
chance on a slow paced game against the very physical frontcourt of the
Bulls. The first game of the series had a pace of 90.68 and I expect
something similar for this game. I believe this game will have some fast
break points and both teams will use their offensive advantage in the
execution of their transitions plays to score points today. I think the
totals line for this game isn't taking in considering all these
offensive edges for both teams and so, I'll take the over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 703/704 Over 177 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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