Thursday, January 12, 2012

NBA Premium Play 01/11: Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs

NBA - 713 Houston Rockets @ 714 San Antonio Spurs

Projected line: San Antonio by 4 points
First of all, this is a terrible spot for the Spurs, as they will be playing their 4th game in 5 days. They played a home game against Denver last Saturday, then they played in the following day at Oklahoma City, yesterday they played at Milwaukee and today they will face Houston at home! Yesterday, Duncan and Parker played big minutes, something which isn't quite normal and so, this really makes me put them on fade alert for tonight. San Antonio is now very dependent from the perimeter and yes, they ere deadly on mid-range last night with 6-9 FG from 3-9 feet, 10-13 FG from 10-15 feet and 13-24 FG from 16-23 feet! However, on this bad spot, they won't likely have legs to hit those long shots tonight!

On the other side, Houston is also coming from a back to back spot with their backcourt playing big minutes. However, the Rockets had two days off to rest before last night's game at Charlotte and we are talking about a relatively fresh young team against a veteran tired team! San Antonio will be without TJ Ford tonight and the Spurs have now just Tony Parker as a pure PG available for tonight, while Houston has both Lowry and Dragic in good form and ready to take advantage from the Spurs problems at this position! Looking at the spot and the struggles of the Spurs with injuries, I expect this game to be quite tight, as Houston has surely some edges for tonight, especially in terms of physical condition and depth! Therefore, I'll take the Rockets tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 713 Houston Rockets (+7) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

No comments:

Post a Comment