NBA - 509 Milwaukee Bucks @ 510 Utah Jazz
***TOP PLAY***
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
We have in here a bad spot for both teams. This will be Utah's 4th game in 5 days and also a back to back game, while Milwaukee is playing for the second night in a row, after having played at Denver last night. Milwaukee is coming from a close loss at Denver, where they couldn't handle the pressure from the Nuggets in the 4th quarter. Even taking in account they were playing a back to back to back game, Denver was faithful to their style of pushing the pace just to score in transition and with that, Denver scored 24 fast break points and 58 points in the paint! At the same time, Utah played a completely different home game against the Hornets: a slow paced game, where only the fact that NOH shot 50% FG and still just scored 90 points show the kind of game that was. Well, for tonight I expect a similar game as the one Utah played yesterday!
Utah needs their frontline to be competitive and yesterday Big Al had a big game with 34 min, 11-18 FG and 22 points (but finished the game with calf cramps, a sign that this b2b game may be tough for him). The team also had Millsap, Favors and Kanter in the frontcourt, but when their opponents are able to shutdown the frontcourt of the Jazz, Utah has no other major weapons and I believe Milwaukee will have the ability of doing that tonight! Even though Denver scored 58 points in the paint last night, the Nuggets scored just 25-45 FG (55.6% FG) at the rim! The Bucks are already at a good level defensively by allowing just 59% FG at the rim! Bogut is healthy and head coach Scott Skiles have a lot of good big players to counter Utah's frontline!
Utah has been struggling in the perimeter and yesterday was no exception, with them shooting 5-17 FG from 16-23 feet and 5-15 on 3pts shots. On this bad spot for them, I don't believe there will be any improvement on this area! On a game that is a bad spot for both teams, the bigger depth in the roster of Milwaukee over Utah, especially on the perimeter, will be a key factor on this game. I believe Milwaukee is coming to this game on a better mindset and they have the right weapons to win this game and therefore, I'm taking in here. I also believe the totals line is way too high for a game between these two teams, especially on a bad spot for both, and so, I'll take the under in here on a Double Dime Play!
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 509/510 Under 191 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
***ADDED PLAY***
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 509 Milwaukee Bucks pk @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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