Play #1
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If this contest was scheduled to be played in late August or September, I would have passed as Real Madrid would get the “proper time” to prepare for this game and therefore, my fair line would be Real Madrid -1.5. However, this is not the case and yet the public is just hammering the “Merengues” all day long - early on the day, the line was -1.25 AH!
I expect this contest to be a tight one! Obviously, Real Madrid has all the impressive firepower on the front w/ Ronaldo, Benzema, Bale and James Rodriguez, but I have major doubts about the levels of their "match fitness" for this contest. Basically, in their pre-season preparation, it looked like they “didn’t” care about this game. Some key players are yet to play a minute in this new season while their Head Coach Carlo Ancelloti is going to start w/ Kroos & Modric on the center midfield. These two players are not defensive minded midfields, so I think that they will be exposed a little bit by Sevilla’s fast-paced counter attacks. Also, Sergio Ramos & Pepe looked terrible in some pre-season games and w/ Iker Casillas will start for them @GK, I don’t think that Real Madrid will shutdown Sevilla's attack who will play a conservative style while trying to explore Real's lack of speed and work-rate of their midfield unit.
Unlike Real Madrid, Sevilla made an interesting pre-season with more games played and thinking clearly ahead for this contest. I expect them to have the upper hand fitness-wise and this could be pivotal in these early-season games – just look of what happened to Man City in this past weekend vs. Arsenal!?
If this contest was scheduled to be played in late August or September, I would have passed as Real Madrid would get the “proper time” to prepare for this game and therefore, my fair line would be Real Madrid -1.5. However, this is not the case and yet the public is just hammering the “Merengues” all day long - early on the day, the line was -1.25 AH!
I expect this contest to be a tight one! Obviously, Real Madrid has all the impressive firepower on the front w/ Ronaldo, Benzema, Bale and James Rodriguez, but I have major doubts about the levels of their "match fitness" for this contest. Basically, in their pre-season preparation, it looked like they “didn’t” care about this game. Some key players are yet to play a minute in this new season while their Head Coach Carlo Ancelloti is going to start w/ Kroos & Modric on the center midfield. These two players are not defensive minded midfields, so I think that they will be exposed a little bit by Sevilla’s fast-paced counter attacks. Also, Sergio Ramos & Pepe looked terrible in some pre-season games and w/ Iker Casillas will start for them @GK, I don’t think that Real Madrid will shutdown Sevilla's attack who will play a conservative style while trying to explore Real's lack of speed and work-rate of their midfield unit.
Unlike Real Madrid, Sevilla made an interesting pre-season with more games played and thinking clearly ahead for this contest. I expect them to have the upper hand fitness-wise and this could be pivotal in these early-season games – just look of what happened to Man City in this past weekend vs. Arsenal!?
Please note that the game starts @2:45 PM EST / 8:45 PM CET!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Sevilla (+1.5) @ -104 / 1.96 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes)
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Sevilla (+1.5) @ -104 / 1.96 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes)
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