Wednesday, August 27, 2014

MLB Free Premium Play 08/27

MLB Free Pick #1: 965 Texas Rangers @ 966 Seattle Mariners
(Starting Pitchers: C. Lewis vs. E. Ramirez)
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Over 7.5 @ +100 / 2.00 on Betonline
Detailed Write Up:

My fair line for this contest is 8-runs so we are getting some value in my opinion w/ OVER @ plus money. This series has been a low scoring one w/ the first 2 games going bellow the total posted, but I think that both offenses will have some edge vs. SP’s in this matchup.

TEX SP’s Colby Lewis has been ultra inconsistent lately w/ some high pitch count numbers on his L3 starts. His problems vs. LH batters this season are well noticed as he is allowing LH bats to have .352 BA + .406 wOBA against him! Now, here’s SEA lineup for today:

1. Austin Jackson (R) CF
2. Dustin Ackley (L) LF
3. Robinson Cano (L) DH
4. Kendrys Morales (S) 1B
5. Kyle Seager (L) 3B
6. Mike Zunino (R) C
7. Logan Morrison (L) RF
8. Chris Taylor (R) SS
9. Brad Miller (L) 2B

6 LH batters on the lineup! This SEA lineup is a bad matchup for him and no wonder, Lewis had some problems vs. SEA on his 3 starts against them this season by allowing 5, 3 & 4 ER’s!

On the other side, SEA will send Erasmo Ramirez to the mound and he is basically just filling a spot for them to give some rest to SEA’s elite SP’s. Ramirez’ numbers in this season aren’t that good w/ 4.06 ERA, 5.15 FIP & 4.67 xFIP! TEX struggled in the first 2 games of the series because they have faced 2 young LHP’s who are pitching well lately in Elias and Paxton. The same cannot be said about Ramirez and therefore, I also expect them to put some runs in the scoreboard in this contest.

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