Tuesday, August 12, 2014

MLB Free Premium Play 08/12: Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs

MLB - 907 Milwaukee Brewers @ 908 Chicago Cubs

(Starting Pitchers: 
W. Peralta vs. 
 
K. Hendricks
)


***FREE PREMIUM PLAY***

I faded MIL’s SP Wily Peralta on his last start without success as Peralta was really outstanding w/ 1 ER’s in 6.2 IP’s while having a great 9/1 K/BB ratio. However, note that he threw 115 pitches in that start – season high! So far in the season, he had 2 more starts in which he threw +110 pitches, and he struggled in the following outing in both times! For some reason, CHC’s bats have great numbers against him - 90 AB’s + .300 BA + .907 OPS! I expect Peralta to struggle a bit tonight…

On the other end, Kyle Hendricks has been great lately. Note that he has faced STL, @LAD & @COL – all tough matchups and still he dominated in those games. He has some stellar numbers vs. RH’s batters (small sample indeed) w/ .197 BA + .238 wOBA. MIL’s right-heavy lineup will be in trouble tonight against him, and therefore, I see some value w/ the Cubs @underdogs.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 908 Chicago Cubs ML (w/ 
 
K. Hendricks
) @ +113 / 2.13 on 5 Dimes

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