MLB Pick: 963 Colorado Rockies @ 964 San Francisco Giants
(Starting Pitchers: F. Morales vs. T. Hudson)
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Over 7 @ -105 / 1.95 on Boomaker
Detailed Write Up:
I understand that the first 2 contests of this series went bellow the total posted but I think that both matchups will dictate a high scoring game.
The Giants are hitting relatively well vs. LHP’s lately w/ .319 BA in L10 games while they are ranked in a respectable #8 spot for the season.
We won a play w/ MIA by fading COL’s SP Franklin Morales:
“I’m fading COL’s SP F. Morales because he has been simply awful for quite some time! His 5.32 FIP & 5.31 xFIP numbers in the second half of season says it all along w/ a truly terrible 12.7% BB% rate! MIA lineup has been more patient lately by being ranked #3 in the league in BB% w/ 9.3%. I expect them to put some runs in the score.”
He didn’t “disappoint” us as he allowed 6 ER’s in just 4 IP’s of work! He is on my fade list alert, so I’m just keeping riding the bus.
On the other side, SF’s SP Tim Hudson is a bit of a slump in the second half of season. His 4.41 FIP & 4.17 xFIP numbers says it all, especially when we compare with his 1st half numbers: 3.19 FIP & 3.35 xFIP! His command has been poor lately w/ only 11 K’s on his L5 starts and therefore, I think that even the dreadful COL lineup (on the road obviously) could get some production in this matchup.
No comments:
Post a Comment