MLB Premium Card 08/21

MLB Pick #1: 959 Houston Astros @ 960 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: D. Keuchel vs. B. McCaarthy)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 960 New York Yankees RL-1.5 @ +125 / 2.25 on Betonline

MLB Pick #1: 961 Cleveland Indians @ 962 Minnesota Twins

(Starting Pitchers: D. Kluber vs. P. Hughes)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Under 7 @ +100 / 2.00 on Betonline

MLB Pick #3: 953 Atlanta Braves @ 954 Cincinnati Reds

(Starting Pitchers: J. Teheran vs. D. Holmberg)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Over 8 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

Detailed Write Up:

My fair line for this contest is 9-runs so we are getting some value w/ OVER in here.

ATL’s offense has been “red-hot” lately! I have them ranked #8 in the league in the L14 days and they are particularly good vs. Left-Handed Pitchers – they are ranked #6 in the league in this season. The last time they have faced a LHP it was Francisco Liriano, who was been fantastic (I had a play w/ him) just to be pounded by the Braves, allowing 7 ER’s in just 4 Innings!

For this contest, they will face CIN’s SP Holmberg who was knocked around for five runs on seven hits in just 2.2 IP’s against the Cubs in his debut. He was quickly demoted while his AAA numbers are subpar to say the least: 4.64 ERA and 1.66 WHIP! I expect ATL’s offense to do some damage!

On the other end, I’m fading ATL’s SP Julio Teheran as well in here! He “bounced back” on his last start vs. OAK after 2 consecutive bad outings but note that still, his numbers weren’t “that good” w/ bad command 1/3 K/BB and an awful 6.47 FIP + 6.39 xFIP marks!

After a terrible offensive stretch, CIN offense has been better later (the return of B. Phillips is a great help for them) by being ranked #20 in L7 days (they are dead last #30 for quite some time) and so, I expect them to score some runs as well vs. inconsistent Teheran.