MLB Pick: 915 Houston Astros @ 916 Cleveland Indians
(Starting Pitchers: B. Peacock vs. C. Carrasco)
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: 916 Cleveland Indians RL-1.5 @ +100 / 2.00 on Betonline
Detailed Write Up:
“MIN is coming from a series vs. best team in the league in which they scored 5, 4 & 6 runs in the L3 games all vs. decent pitchers. For tonight, I expect them to make some damage vs. Brad Peacock who has a god awful 10.86 FIP & 7.18 xFIP to show in the second half of season!”
Surprisingly, he held the Twins to just 1 ER in 5 innings of work, but everything rest was mediocre! He needed 115 pitches to complete 5 IP’s for an obscene 23.0 P/IP mark. The 115 pitches mark was by some margin his season high and w/ just 4 days off for this contest, I expect him to tire a bit fast today. He is a fly ball pitcher w/ 40.3% FB% rate in this season and his 12.7% HR/FB rate isn’t help him at all – this could be is a tough combination for tonight @BOS w/ the winds blowing out to left field at 10-15 MPH!
Well, Peacock allowed 5 ER’s in just 4.1 IP’s w/ a subpar 3/2 K/BB & 2 HR’s allowed for an abysmal 9.13 FIP! CLE is ranked #2 vs. RHP’s this season, so I expect another rough start for Peacock.
I’ve ride Carlos Carrasco on his last start vs. BAL for a Top play w/ great success… Here’s what I’ve wrote about him:
“On the other side, CLE SP Carlos Carrasco was great on his last start @NYY:
ERA FIP xFIP
0.00 1.53 3.03
Between the bullpen and that last start, Carrasco has a 2.08 ERA since he was demoted in late April! I expect him to take advantage of this second chance to finish strong the season because his advanced numbers are supporting this potential good run from him.”
He was great! He held the potent BAL lineup to 7 scoreless innings w/ a nice 5/0 K/BB ratio! HOU lineup is dangerous against LHP’s but they struggle vs. RHP’s and therefore, I expect Carrasco to be decent tonight while CLE offense will score some runs.
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