Tuesday, August 5, 2014

MLB Free Premium Play 08/05: Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies

MLB - 967 Houston Astros @ 968 Philadelphia Phillies

(Starting Pitchers: D. Keuchel vs. K. Kendrick
)

***FREE PREMIUM PLAY***

Probably, this might be the first time I’ll ride the Astros on the road being favored by the Sportsbooks, but we have some good factors working in their favor.

Dallas Keuchel made 3 decent starts since the All Star break has his 3.00 FIP + 3.33 xFIP can attest. He had some outstanding numbers vs. LH batters w/ .244 BA + .280 wOBA + 2.69 FIP + 2.47 xFIP and for tonight, PHI’s lineup is loaded w/ LH batters:

1. Ben Revere (L) CF
2. Jimmy Rollins (S) SS
3. Chase Utley (L) 2B
4. Ryan Howard (L) 1B
5. Marlon Byrd (R) RF
6. Carlos Ruiz (R) C
7. Darin Ruf (R) LF
8. Cody Asche (L) 3B
9. Kyle Kendrick (R) P

In my opinion, Keuchel has a good spot to perform quite well tonight.

On the other end, PHI’s SP Kendrick is coming from another subpar performance, this time against the offensively challenged NYM offense. He had the awful mark of 4.97 FIP + 5.32 xFIP in that game! HOU offense has been decent for quite some time. I have ranked them #10 in L30 days and therefore, I expect Kendrick’s struggles to carry on for this contest.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 967 Houston Astros ML (w/ D. Keuchel) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5 Dimes

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