MLB Pick: 951 Philadelphia Phillies @ 952 New York Mets
(Starting Pitchers: A. Burnett vs. D. Gee)
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: 951 Philadelphia Phillies ML @ +110 / 2.10 on 5 Dimes
Detailed Write Up:
PHI’s SP A. Burnett has been highly inconsistent in this season. After a rough 4-starts stretch, he looked decent against the Mariners even though he allowed 5 ER’s in that start. However, his 9 K’s mark was a good sign for the future, and indeed he dominated on his last start vs. good WAS lineup w/ 7 strong innings in which he allowed just 1 ER and had a great 12/1 K/BB mark.
He already has faced the Mets 3 different times this season and struggled mightily in every start (he allowed 5, 7 & 5 ER’s in those starts), so I’m expecting him to have some revenge in this matchup today and perform quite well against this NYM lineup that is struggling to score runs lately - I have them being dead last (#30) in L7 days in the league.
On the other end, NYM’s SP Dilon Gee has been on my “fade list” radar in this second half of season. His 5.14 FIP & 4.45 xFIP numbers in 2nd half is a good indicator of how poorly he has pitched lately. His poor 1.79 K/BB ratio is another poor sign for him. PHI current roster is batting .296 BA & .890 OPS!
Unlike NYM’s offense, PHI’s offense has been decent lately while facing some of the best pitchers in the league. Yesterday, they faced the red-hot B. Colon and still, they pounded him w/ 6 runs! With Pitching & offensive edges, I’m taking the Phillies today!
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