MLB - 903 Detroit Tigers @ 904 New York Yankees
(Starting Pitchers: M. Scherzer vs. B. McCarthy)
***FREE PREMIUM PLAY***
We have a rested DET bullpen (important factor w/ this DET team) as their SP’s went deep during the weekend vs. COL: Verlander 8IP’s, Porcello 8IP’s and yesterday Anibal Sanchez went 7 IP’s! On the other end, the Yankees are coming from a tiring “ESPN game” vs. rivals Red Sox in a game that last almost 4 hours. This is a potential letdown spot IMO.
One of our biggest plays of the season was w/ Scherzer in their last start (Run Line Play). My notes about him:
“They will throw Max Scherzer to the mound and I expect Scherzer to take care of the business. His 3.31 FIP & 3.18 xFIP numbers in this month are good but not great, but please note the level of his opponents in the month of July (Ranked teams vs. RHP’s in this season):
LAA #8
CLE #4
LAD #5
TB #12
Yes, all top teams! Only the Rays aren’t a top 10 offensive team vs. RHP’s using season numbers, but I have no doubts that they are a top team right now – ranked #4 in the L30 days! Still, Scherzer managed to give his team a chance to win those games. He already has made 3 starts vs. CWS this season w/ great numbers of 2, 0 & 0 ER’s allowed!”
Well, he didn’t disappoint us: 7.0IP, 5H, 1ER, 6/1 K/BB ratio w/ nice 1.86 FIP & 2.75 xFIP! I expect him to be decent (once again) today.
On the other end, I’ve also made a play in NYY’s B. McCarthy in his last but we had to sweat to win that play @TEX as he didn’t fare well w/ 6.00 ERA + 4.81 FIP + 4.32 xFIP! Even though he has been solid lately, note that he has faced TEX 2x & CIN in his last 3 starts, we just can’t compare them vs. DET’s power offense! McCarthy’s 17.3% HR/FB ratio is a potential problem tonight vs. DET power bats @NYY stadium, and the correlation of all these factors = Single Dime Play w/ Detroit tonight!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 903 Detroit Tigers ML (w/ M. Scherzer) @ -123 / 1.81 on 5 Dimes
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