Sunday, January 15, 2012

NBA Premium Play 01/14: Philadelphia 76ers @ Washington Wizards

NBA - 503 Washington Wizards @ 504 Philadelphia 76ers

Projected line: 183 points
This is a home-home series and last night, Philadelphia squashed Washington at home while showing no mercy! Note that the Wizards scored 89 points, but 31 of them were on the 4th quarter on "trash time", so the team scored just 23+17+18=56 points in 36 minutes of play! I don't think this will change for tonight, as after all we are talking about the single worst offense in the league by a fair margin facing one of the best defenses in the league!

The main question in here is to know if Philadelphia will be as efficient on offense tonight as they were last night. Well, first of all, the Sixers are in the worst possible spot that a NBA team can have this season: 5 games in 6 nights, as they had a b2b2b + 1 day rest + b2b game tonight! Yesterday, they scored 120 points by taking advantage of the Wizards' turnovers by scoring 32 fast break points and especially by being completely red hot from the outside: 11-25 FG from 16-23 feet and 12-18 3pts! Their interior game was almost non-existent with just 13-16 FG at the rim! On the worst spot possible and with so much volume on their outside game, it will be very hard for the Sixers to have the same offensive efficiency tonight and so, I expect this game to be quite ugly. So, I see enough value on the under in here to take it.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 503/504 Under 186 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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