Sunday, January 15, 2012

NBA Premium Play 01/14: Indiana Pacers @ Boston Celtics

NBA - 501 Boston Celtics @ 502 Indiana Pacers

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Projected line: 175 points
I believe today we will have a special lockout day in the NBA, as in a season with a regular schedule, we would never have 11 games being played today. This makes that most teams will be playing an "extra game" today and so, we have some teams in absolutely brutal physical spots! This game is one of them, as both teams will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, with back to back games that involved travelling both teams as well! Boston is coming from a tough physical game against Chicago, where Doc Rivers heavily used his starters, with all of them played at least 33 minutes!

On the other hand, Indiana had a tough game at Toronto, where the Pacers needed to perform a comeback and spent a lot of energy. In this context of a game between two tired teams, the matchup favors a low scoring contest. Indiana is an excellent defensive team that puts pressure all over the court and Boston will struggle to score easy shots. Note that last week, these two teams faced each other and Boston scored just 74 points with just 15 FG made on 15 feet or closer to the basket! The same can be said about Indiana, as they are one of the worst shooting teams in the league and with this game being a half court one, I expect Boston to handle Indiana's bad offensive flow. Therefore, I came up with a projection of 175 points for this contest, low enough for me to take the under in here in a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 501/502 Under 181,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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