NBA - 505 New York Knicks @ 506 Memphis Grizzlies
Projected line: 195 points | Memphis by 8 points
The
Knicks played yesterday against Philadelphia and the Sixers had no legs
whatsoever and played their worst game of the season so far. Today, I
expect something similar to happen to the Knicks. Philadelphia managed
to play good defense, but they have no flow offensively and missed a lot
of easy shots! The lack of ball movement was evident when the team shot
8-23 FG on ISO plays! They also shot just 5-14 FG on P&R Ball
Handler, another sign of poor ball movement. As a consequence of that,
the Sixers were completely perimeter oriented: 8-22 FG from 16-23 feet
and 3-15 in 3pts! On the other end, the Knicks made a huge effort and as
a consequence of that, they were dead tired at the end, with the Sixers
not allowing the Knicks a single field goal in the last 9 minutes of
the game! All the Knicks starters played for more than 35 minutes, so
that's another red flag for them today.
The team from New York had a very poor ball movement with 13 assists
and 24 turnovers, which originated 21 points off turnovers in favor of
Philadelphia! The Knicks shot just 8-17 FG on Isolation plays and 9-27
FG on Spot-ups! The good defense of Philadelphia also forced them to be a
perimeter oriented team and the result of that was a shooting night of
6-19 FG from 16-23 feet and 6-22 in 3pts! With his lack of any kind of
decent ball movement, the Knicks are extremely turnover prone and
Memphis is known for being able to force a lot of turnovers to their
opponents! The Grizzlies are also the 4th best defensive team on ISO
plays by allowing 0.65 PPP and the defensive pressure of Memphis on
Fields, Shumpert and Douglas will be evident and therefore, I expect a
big struggle for the Knicks in terms of turnovers tonight!
Memphis may be 0-3 on their last 3 games, but all three games were
ballgames, they simply had problems down the stretch. The Knicks defense
is just 21st on transition plays by allowing 1.19 PPP and they are also
the 6th worst team in defending the rim, so Memphis' offense will have
good chances to have a great game over a tired team of the Knicks. This
is definitely a much better spot for Memphis and they also seem to have
in the Knicks a good matchup for them. Therefore, I'll be taking the
Grizzlies to have a big win tonight.
I have a totals
projection for this game of 195 points and the line was set at 193/194
during the afternoon, but as there has been a line movement that has
sent the totals line into 191,5 I'll be taking the over in this game as
well, as we now have enough value to take the over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 506 Memphis Grizzlies (-4) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 505/506 Over 191,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
No comments:
Post a Comment