NBA - 501 Houston Rockets @ 502 Charlotte Bobcats
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
Projected line: Houston by 7 points
First
of all, there is a huge difference on the spot of both teams for today:
Houston had 2 days off, while Charlotte will be playing a back to back
game and this will also be their 4th game in 5 days! Houston is 0-5 on
the road this season, but all their road games until now were against
good teams: ORL, MEM, LAL, LAC and OKC! The problem of this team has
been their interior defense, as Dalembert arrived to the team late and
he still needs some time to adapt. Houston has faced some top interior
offensive teams and they had no chance by allowing 71% FG at the rim!
Fortunately for them, Charlotte offers no danger to the Rockets near
the basket, as they have no interior threat. The Bobcats are shooting
just 56% at the rim and they are #24 in the league in post-up plays with
just 0.71 PPP! They have had occasional success on the perimeter with
Henderson and Augustin, but with this being a tough physical spot for
them, I think that Houston will be able to have a reasonable defensive
game, as they won't have the pressure of having to defend a big man and
so, they will be able to pressure more the perimeter.
On the other side, Houston is still a good offensive team! Lowry is
back and he is the most important player on the team! Martin is
questionable for tonight, but if he doesn't play, Dragic will start in
his place and even though he isn't as good as KM in the offense, he will
be a huge upgrade defensively! Also Scola will have a favorable matchup
against Diaw, who is coming from a big game last night against the
Knicks, but I doubt that he will play as well two days in a row,
especially as he is struggling with weight issues. It's also clear that
Houston will be fired up: “We’ve got a group (who knows) we started off
0-5, 1-6 last year,” guard Kevin Martin said. “We know how the end of
the year ended. That was definitely a darker time than what it is now. I
think we’re fine around here.”
Considering all of this, I expect a fired up and much fresher
Rockets to finally won a game on the road against the Bobcats, who will
heavily struggle in handling the Rockets offense. Therefore, I'll be
taking Houston in here on a Double Dime Play!
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 501 Houston Rockets (-3) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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