Projected line: 183 points
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
This will be the 3rd game between these two teams, with Atlanta having won the past two games. The first one was on a super bad spot for the Nets, where Atlanta won on a blowout and I don't think conclusions can be taken from that game. The second game was a close game on a relax spot of Atlanta, who was coming from an easy home win against Washington. On that second game, the Nets scored via offensive rebounds 5-8 FG on a total of 15 offensive rebounds, in a game where Deron Williams played really well with 9-18 FG 23pts and 6ast! On the other side, Atlanta scored 19-31 FG at the rim and via free throws as well. It was very easy to score for the Hawks, even though they even struggled from the outside on that game: 7-21 FG from 16-23 feet and 4-15 3pts!
Atlanta is coming from a b2b2b spot, where they had a super win over Chicago, so they are coming with confidence for this game. The Hawks will certainly have the edge at the rim, as New Jersey is a subpar defense team on that area, but I'm also expecting the Hawks to be more efficient from the outside than they were on the previous game between these two games.
On the Nets side, they have been playing a lot of b2b games. At Toronto, their 3pts shooting finally woke up with a good game by Morrow 6-10 3pts and with the team shooting a combined of 15-31 from 3pts! Then, they had a tough spot on a b2b against Miami, where the team shot 10-33 3pts. The effort from them at Toronto was evident, as the two players with more minutes at that game, Deron Williams and Kris Humphries, shot 4-16 FG and 8-21 FG respectively in the following game!
The line for this game is reflecting on the Nets performance on offense as a whole for the season and if we don't count the games where Deron and Humphries didn't play (they are by wide margin their best offensive players) and the back to back games (4 b2b games out of 9 games played so far!), I believe that with one day off to rest between home games and with Deron Williams and Humphries playing, the Nets won't be such a terrible offensive team.
The line for this game is reflecting on the Nets performance on offense as a whole for the season and if we don't count the games where Deron and Humphries didn't play (they are by wide margin their best offensive players) and the back to back games (4 b2b games out of 9 games played so far!), I believe that with one day off to rest between home games and with Deron Williams and Humphries playing, the Nets won't be such a terrible offensive team.
Today the Nets are on a much better spot, so I'm expecting a similar offensive game from the Nets that they had in the second game against Atlanta than in the first game, where they were completely dead after a brutal game in the previous day. Therefore, looking at all these facts, I came up with a projection line of 183 points for this game, good enough for us to take the over in here on a Double Dime Play!
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 705/706 Over 178 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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