Monday, January 2, 2012

NBA Premium Play 01/02: Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns

NBA - 701 Golden State Warriors @ 702 Phoenix Suns

Projected line: Golden State by 3 points

***TOP PLAY***

*`DOUBLE DIME PLAY - SPLIT THE WAGER*


The Warriors have been a very good rebounding team, a big surprise considering their lack of success on this area during the last few seasons. However, with head coach Mark Johnson, they have been using big lineups with a big man on the court and the truth is that Golden State has been playing really well in this department. The same can't be said about the Suns, who continues to be outrebounded in almost every single game, just like it happened over the past few seasons. Both teams aren't coming a lot to the free throw line and the truth is that the Suns offense continues to show no legs, clearly struggling due to Nash's ribs injury, who keeps making him struggle on the court. Phoenix is currently shooting 32% FG from 16-23 feet and 26% from the 3pts line! Considering they are a perimeter team, they are basically screwed up. They have been doing okay at the rim, but only 25% of their shots are from this area of the court, while they shot 25.9% from 16 feet or further!

On the other side, the Warriors offense have been on a similar situation as the Suns, but they have Monta Ellis and Stephen Curry! Monta didn't play in the team's last game, but he is probable for that. Against the slow footed Nash and Dudley, the edge is clearly for the Warriors duo! Golden State has been having success on transition plays with 1.07 PPP and cuts with 1.02 PPP, two areas where the Suns struggle defensively (which makes sense, considering they have no legs right now and they are a quite veteran team as well) by allowing 1.24 PPP and 1.21 PPP respectively. Therefore, I believe the energy of the Warriors will tire the Suns out throughout the game giving the Warriors a well need road win. Considering the edges I've mentioned, I am taking Golden State in here on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 2 units on 701 Golden State Warriors ML @ +150 / 2.50 on Bookmaker
Pick: 2 units on 701 Golden State Warriors (+3,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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