Oklahoma City at Dallas
Projected line: Oklahoma City by 7 points
This team of Dallas has basically no legs for a full 48 minutes game. Either their opponents enter in panic mode like Toronto did or they are completely screwed. It's clear that Dirk, Odom and Carter have been horrible and the only player of the roster who seems to be in decent physical shape happens to be the oldest player in the team, Jason Kidd! For today, the Mavs are facing a really tough spot with their 3rd game in 4 nights and coming from a back to back game at Minnesota, where the Wolves had a huge off reb edge with 37% vs 14%! For today, I expect Dallas to have absolutely no legs to counter Oklahoma City.
The Thunder are coming from an easy win against Phoenix and they are surely heading to this game with a better spot than Dallas, something that didn't happen in the first game of the series, where OKC was coming from a back to back game and straight from Minnesota, where they had played the night before! This lack of energy from the Thunder was evident, as Dallas had a 30-20 off reb edge in the game, while at the same time OKC led by Westbrook almost self-destroyed with 26 turnovers. But if it wasn't for these struggles and the Thunder would have blown out Dallas, as they shot 62.5 eFG% vs 47.2% from Dallas! Considering the fact that this game will be played on the arenas where they were eliminated from the playoffs last season, I expect an extra dose of motivation for the Thunder and if that happens, Oklahoma City will have no mercy and they will give the clearly unprepared Mavs a good beating tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 715 Oklahoma City Thunder (-2,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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