Charlotte at Atlanta
NBA - 501 Charlotte Bobcats @ 502 Atlanta Hawks
Projected line: 177 points
Atlanta is coming from a loss yesterday at Indiana and the bad news was that Al Horford got injured and he will be out for a month! Without Horford, Atlanta who is already a super perimeter oriented team by shooting 52% of their shots from 16 feet or further will be even more perimeter oriented, as Jason Collins and Zaza Pachulia lack the offensive skills that Horford possesses. The Hawks are on a bad physical spot as well and they will play a half court game tonight. They had a similar spot at Charlotte last week and even though the game went to overtime, the result at the end of the regular time was 91-91, in an acceptable game from both offenses and with a pace of 85! This will very hardly happen once again tonight due to the absence of Horford and because the Bobcats offense has regressed in their last few games.
On the Bobcats side, Byron Mullens will start at center tonight and Thomas is also expected to play as well! One of their problemas has been their inability of scoring near the basket. In their last three games, they shot 13-26 FG, 11-18 FG and 16-30 FG at the rim and even though Horford is out, Zaza & Collins are a good defensive duo and they will prevent Charlotte from scoring a lot near the basket once again! One of the biggest outcomes of Charlotte this season was when they opponents set a really fast space like in the games against Miami and in their first game against the Knicks, but when they are involved on a half court game, their offense completely disappears. This is what I expect to happen tonight and so, I came up with a projection line of just 177 points, which makes me take the under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501/502 Under 181 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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