Monday, June 30, 2014

Soccer World Cup Play 06/30: France vs. Nigeria

Soccer World Cup Play: France vs. Nigeria

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

France has been one of the best teams of the Tournament and this is no surprise for us: we've won a Top Play w/ them in their first game, and also cashed a future play w/ them winning their respective group:

“However, this is a new team and more importantly, they have a good coach in Didier Deschamps that simply doesn’t allow any sign of indiscipline. In a controversial decision, Deschamps left out Manchester City’s star Samir Nasri because he believes team spirit is key to winning. In the playoffs, France was almost humiliated @Ukraine by losing 0-2, but they bounced back in France and won 3-0 and secured the qualification. Nasri started in the first game and had a terrible performance, while he didn’t play in the second game at home, so the correlation is pretty clear for me.

I was about to send this play earlier and being a Triple Dime Play, but the injury and absence of Franck Ribery was indeed a major blow for them. Nevertheless, I still think that we have some value in them to win the group as my fair line in here is France having 60% of chances to be #1 in the group @ -150 odds.

I really love France’s midfield trio on the center of the field w/ Matuidi, Pogba and Cabaye. These three players can defend and attack with great quality, and they impose a great tempo to the game – something pivotal in today’s preferred style of play. Ribery is gone, but it looks like Benzema “connects” pretty well with Olivier Giroud on the front as both players are great passers despite being strikers.”

Their offensive flow has been a joy to watch - probably the best team in the whole Tournament! In the last game against Ecuador, even though they rested some players and didn’t put 100% full effort on the game, they created a ton of good chances to score but their finishing ability in that particular day was subpar.

This Nigerian team is considered to be a good defensive team, but despite playing w/ a packed defensive line, they are allowing their opponents way too many chances.

I’ve noticed that prior to their game vs. Argentina in which I’ve released a play w/ OVER:

“Despite playing w/ a conservative mindset, I can’t ignore the fact that Bosnia had an absurd number of scoring chances but ultimately, they failed to capitalize. Note also that one legal goal was disallowed to them, so Nigeria was really “lucky” in not allowing at least one goal. I just can’t imagine being so “lucky” today against Argentina’s forwards.”

Well, Argentina scored 3 goals against them… I don’t think that Nigeria will keep the French dynamic attack in check!

On the other side, Nigeria’s forward Ahmed Musa is coming from a great individual performance against Argentina while facing the slow-footed RB Pablo Zabaleta. I expect the French defense to be ready to deal w/ his speed as RB Debuchy’s superior speed when compared to Zabaleta’s is going to help France in this individual matchup.

I expect France to win this contest by at least 2 goals of difference!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on France (-1) @ -145 / 1.69 on Bookmaker

ADDED PLAY:

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Parlay France ML x Germany ML @ -117 / 1.85 on Pinnacle Sports ( OR -130 / 1.77 on Betonline)

No comments:

Post a Comment