(Starting Pitchers: D. Buchanan vs. J. Zimmermann)
Play #1
Play #1
In my opinion, the Nationals have a great spot to win easily vs. PHI tonight. They enjoyed a nice day-off yesterday, and we are dealing w/ the #3 ranked offense in the league in L7 days according to my numbers w/ 0.370 wOBA. Also, note that Ryan Zimmerman has returned to the lineup, so we expect WAS to be decent offensively. They will face David Buchanan in here, and I simply don’t trust him. Buchanan had just “OK” numbers in AAA w/ 3.98 ERA & 4.17 FIP and he was solid in his first start vs. LAD in which he had game log numbers of 3.60 ERA & 2.27 FIP! However, he had only 2 K’s and quite naturally, he was due for a letdown in the next start that indeed happened: 4 R’s, 3 ER’s and again, just 2 K’s vs. 2BB’s! I expect him to have some troubles tonight vs. WAS.
On the other end, Jordan Zimmermann is due for some quality outings. In his L4 outings, he has allowed 5, 3, 4 and 3 ER’s but his advanced numbers showed that he has been a bit unlucky as of late:
Vs. MIA: ERA=5.40 vs. FIP=2.47
@ PIT: ERA=6.00 vs. FIP=5.40
Vs. NYM: ERA=4.50 vs. FIP=3.74
@ ARI: ERA=7.94 vs. FIP=3.95
As you can see, in all those L4 starts, Zimmerman had ERA > FIP numbers! PHI offense is struggling lately – I have them ranked #25, #21 and #22 in the last month / L14 days & L7 days and so, we have a clear mismatch on the mound & offensively as well favoring the Nationals tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 902 Washington Nationals RL-1.5 (w/ J. Zimmermann) @ +105 / 2.05 on Bookmaker
On the other end, Jordan Zimmermann is due for some quality outings. In his L4 outings, he has allowed 5, 3, 4 and 3 ER’s but his advanced numbers showed that he has been a bit unlucky as of late:
Vs. MIA: ERA=5.40 vs. FIP=2.47
@ PIT: ERA=6.00 vs. FIP=5.40
Vs. NYM: ERA=4.50 vs. FIP=3.74
@ ARI: ERA=7.94 vs. FIP=3.95
As you can see, in all those L4 starts, Zimmerman had ERA > FIP numbers! PHI offense is struggling lately – I have them ranked #25, #21 and #22 in the last month / L14 days & L7 days and so, we have a clear mismatch on the mound & offensively as well favoring the Nationals tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 902 Washington Nationals RL-1.5 (w/ J. Zimmermann) @ +105 / 2.05 on Bookmaker
MLB - 907 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 908 Colorado Rockies
(Starting Pitchers: C. Anderson vs. J. De La Rosa)
Play #2
Play #2
This is a strong bounce back spot for COL that returns home after a disappointing road trip:
The Rockies' Troy Tulowitzki, who entered Monday leading the majors with a .350 batting average after going 6-for-30 on the road trip, told the Denver Post: "We regroup now. You build on as many positives as you can. If you keep building on the negatives, there is nowhere to go but down.''
The good news is that they have the right matchup for an offensive bounce back because they will face Chase Anderson. After a good start vs. CWS, Anderson has struggled in L2 outings in which he had poor K/BB ratios of 2/2 & 3/1 and 7 and 8 hits in just 5 IP’s of work! His insane 36.5% / 28.8% / 34.6% distribution of LD% / GB% / FB% = FADE ALERT mode for him in the near future. With these kind of bad numbers, good luck for him pitching @ Coors Field tonight…
On the other end, we had a rested De La Rosa on the mound that is coming from a solid start @PHI w/ 1 ER allowed in 6 IP’s, so I expect him to be decent in here as well.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 908 Colorado Rockies RL-1.5 (w/ J. De La Rosa) @ +115 / 2.15 on 5 Dimes
The Rockies' Troy Tulowitzki, who entered Monday leading the majors with a .350 batting average after going 6-for-30 on the road trip, told the Denver Post: "We regroup now. You build on as many positives as you can. If you keep building on the negatives, there is nowhere to go but down.''
The good news is that they have the right matchup for an offensive bounce back because they will face Chase Anderson. After a good start vs. CWS, Anderson has struggled in L2 outings in which he had poor K/BB ratios of 2/2 & 3/1 and 7 and 8 hits in just 5 IP’s of work! His insane 36.5% / 28.8% / 34.6% distribution of LD% / GB% / FB% = FADE ALERT mode for him in the near future. With these kind of bad numbers, good luck for him pitching @ Coors Field tonight…
On the other end, we had a rested De La Rosa on the mound that is coming from a solid start @PHI w/ 1 ER allowed in 6 IP’s, so I expect him to be decent in here as well.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 908 Colorado Rockies RL-1.5 (w/ J. De La Rosa) @ +115 / 2.15 on 5 Dimes
MLB - 911 Oakland Athletics @ 912 New York Yankees
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 911 Oakland Athletics ML (w/ S. Kazmir) @ -124 / 1.81 on Bookmaker
(Starting Pitchers: S. Kazmir vs. H. Kuroda)
Play #3
Play #3
NOTE: no detailed write up for this play
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 911 Oakland Athletics ML (w/ S. Kazmir) @ -124 / 1.81 on Bookmaker
MLB - 921 Seattle Mariners @ 922 Atlanta Braves
(Starting Pitchers: E. Ramirez vs. G. Floyd)
Play #4
Play #4
NOTE: no detailed write up for this play
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 922 Atlanta Braves RL-1.5 (w/ G. Floyd) @ +140 / 2.40 on 5 Dimes
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 922 Atlanta Braves RL-1.5 (w/ G. Floyd) @ +140 / 2.40 on 5 Dimes
MLB - 925 Kansas City Royals @ 926 St. Louis Cardinals
(Starting Pitchers: J. Shields vs. J. Garcia)
Play #5
Play #5
NOTE: no detailed write up for this play
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 926 St. Louis Cardinals ML (w/ J. Garcia) @ -121 / 1.82 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 926 St. Louis Cardinals ML (w/ J. Garcia) @ -121 / 1.82 on Bookmaker
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