Soccer World Cup Play: Netherlands vs. Mexico
I think that the Dutch team is clearly overrated for this contest and we are getting some value w/ Mexico at this current price.
Arjen Robben has been one of the best players of the tournament so far, and the return of Robbie Van Persie will make them a super dangerous team on the break.
However, I think that their defensive line is “suspicious” to say the least and their midfield unit will be outplayed by the Mexican most physical unit.
I’ve faded them vs. Chile in the last game of the group stages w/ no success:
“I expect the Dutch defense to have some huge problems vs. Chile’s quick and mobile forwards. In this tournament, Netherlands is using a very high positioned defensive line… both Spain and Australia created problems by passing the ball on their backs and this won’t be much different for today. The “difference” is that Chile’s forwards are more equipped and dangerous giving such wide space to them vs. Spanish & Australian forwards.”
Well, the Dutch did the exact opposite in that game! They were ultra conservative, gave the “ball possession” to the Chileans and tried to do some damage in quick counter-attack moves – it worked perfectly for them!
I’ve just checked their starting lineup for today and it looks like they will use a more offensive 4-3-3 formation w/ the inclusion of Dirk Kuijt in the starting XI, so I expect them to be more proactive.
On the other side, I really liked the way they have played in this World Cup – they have exceeded my best expectations! The key for such good “dynamic” has been their midfield unit of Herrera, Salcido and Guardado – they are playing w/ great tempo and are dominating the games strength-wise.
I expect Mexico to be more ready for this contest physically and this will show up especially late in the game.
W/ this more offensive approach from the Dutch on the paper judging their starting XI, I also expect this contest to have some goals as well.
Arjen Robben has been one of the best players of the tournament so far, and the return of Robbie Van Persie will make them a super dangerous team on the break.
However, I think that their defensive line is “suspicious” to say the least and their midfield unit will be outplayed by the Mexican most physical unit.
I’ve faded them vs. Chile in the last game of the group stages w/ no success:
“I expect the Dutch defense to have some huge problems vs. Chile’s quick and mobile forwards. In this tournament, Netherlands is using a very high positioned defensive line… both Spain and Australia created problems by passing the ball on their backs and this won’t be much different for today. The “difference” is that Chile’s forwards are more equipped and dangerous giving such wide space to them vs. Spanish & Australian forwards.”
Well, the Dutch did the exact opposite in that game! They were ultra conservative, gave the “ball possession” to the Chileans and tried to do some damage in quick counter-attack moves – it worked perfectly for them!
I’ve just checked their starting lineup for today and it looks like they will use a more offensive 4-3-3 formation w/ the inclusion of Dirk Kuijt in the starting XI, so I expect them to be more proactive.
On the other side, I really liked the way they have played in this World Cup – they have exceeded my best expectations! The key for such good “dynamic” has been their midfield unit of Herrera, Salcido and Guardado – they are playing w/ great tempo and are dominating the games strength-wise.
I expect Mexico to be more ready for this contest physically and this will show up especially late in the game.
W/ this more offensive approach from the Dutch on the paper judging their starting XI, I also expect this contest to have some goals as well.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Mexico (+0.5) @ -125 / 1.80 on Betonline
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 2.25 Goals @ -101 / 1.99 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -113 / 1.88 Betonline)
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