Friday, June 13, 2014

SOCCER World Cup - Mexico vs. Cameroon Preview

SOCCER World Cup - Mexico vs. Cameroon

Some reports are saying that it rained a bit in Natal early on the day, so this contest won’t be pretty to watch. I understand that Mexico has to be the favorite in here, but they are clearly overrated w/ odds between +115 and +130.

The storyline surrounding this contest is all about Cameroon’s (usual) off the field problems:

“Cameroon’s World Cup squad have refused to board a plane due to take them to Brazil for the World Cup because of disputes over bonuses, according to French sports newspaper L’Equipe. The newspaper’s website claims that the squad have instead remained at their hotel in the Cameroonian capital Yaoundé, while reporters have camped outside the Cameroon Football Federation headquarters awaiting further information.”

The matchup between these two teams is clearly favorable for a low scoring affair – both teams don’t use pure wingers, so there won’t be much width and depth on the wings. Instead, they use their wing-backs quite often but both teams are aware of it. Cameroon has a powerful midfield unit but lacks the proper talent to create open-plays to score. Mexico has more talent but still, they are struggling to score goals lately – they failed to score a single goal in L2 friendly games against Bosnia and Portugal. Both teams will pack the center of the field with 3 or 4 players.

My Leans in here:

Under 2 (I really hate this line of 2 goals, I would love to get some 2.25 line)
Over Prop in bookings (wet field is a great spot for some missed tackles)

ADDED PLAYS:

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Proposition: Over 4.5 Bookings @ +120 / 2.20 on Pinnacle Sports (or +115 / 2.15 on Betonline)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Under 2 Goals @ -103 / 1.97 on Pinnacle Sports (or -107 / 1.93 on Betonline)

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