Soccer World Cup Play: Argentina vs. Nigeria
Some notes I’ve made in that play:
“I expect Iran to completely be focused in defending in here… they will “park the bus”, but by playing so close of their GK… they will be prone to commit individual defensive errors, something normal when you are facing such skillful players like Messi, Aguero or Di Maria. “
Iran indeed put all their men in front of the line and Argentina struggled big time to create scoring chances. I really don’t know why Argentina’ NT coach keeps playing Mascherano and Gago at the same time in the midfield… both players are slow footed and don’t offer much verticality and creativity to the team. It looks like we are dealing with two broken units: their defensive line + these two players and then, 4 isolated players on the front (Di Maria, Messi, Aguero and Higuain! It appears that coach Sabella will make some changes for today…I’m looking forward to see if Mascherano and Gago will be on the starting lineup…
Nigeria is in a good spot to achieve the qualification w/ 4 points after defeating Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-0 in the last game – a game where I had plays Under 2.5 + Nigeria (+0.5), both winners plays.
Despite playing w/ a conservative mindset, I can’t ignore the fact that Bosnia had an absurd number of scoring chances but ultimately, they failed to capitalize. Note also that one legal goal was disallowed to them, so Nigeria was really “lucky” in not allowing at least one goal. I just can’t imagine being so “lucky” today against Argentina’s forwards.
On the other side, Argentina defensive line didn’t impress me at all. Actually, Iran had some great chances to score @ 2nd half in counter attack moves! Nigeria is build to play in counter attack using the amazing speed and pace of their forwards so, I expect Nigeria to do some damage as well.
My Strongest lean for this contest: OVER 2.5/2.75 Goals
UPDATE:
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 2.5 Goals @ -130 / 1.77 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -134 / 1.74 on 5 Dimes
No comments:
Post a Comment