Soccer World Cup Free Play 06/28: Brazil vs. Chile

Soccer World Cup Play: Brazil vs. Chile

Probably, this contest will be the most exciting game to watch of this Round of 16, as we’ll have two teams w/ attacking mindset facing each other.

The Chile’s attacking and fluid football has been a nice story so far in this World Cup. Here are some quick notes I’ve made about them through the tournament:

Against Australia:

“I have no doubt that Chile will be one of the most exciting teams to watch in this Tournament! They play a beautiful attacking football and they will press high on the pitch regardless the level of their opponent. Obviously, being such an offensive minded team, it has some painful costs on the defensive end, but this Australian team doesn’t have the talent to take advantage of that.”

Against Spain:

Why I’m not taking Chile then? Well, I’ve won my first Triple Dime Play of the tournament w/ them against Australia but I really didn’t like the way they defended in the second half. Too much immaturity and some bad positioning… it was enough to defeat an inferior level team, but against top notch competition, this could be a huge problem for them.

My strongest lean in here is Both Teams to score…. Spain just can’t be happy to simply control the game and manage to score one goal and protect the lead, they have to be more proactive, taking more risks and naturally, I expect them to be exposed against the quick – fast paced Chilean forwards especially by Alexis Sanchez.

Against Netherlands:

“I expect the Dutch defense to have some huge problems vs. Chile’s quick and mobile forwards. In this tournament, Netherlands is using a very high positioned defensive line… both Spain and Australia created problems by passing the ball on their backs and this won’t be much different for today. The “difference” is that Chile’s forwards are more equipped and dangerous giving such wide space to them vs. Spanish & Australian forwards.”

As good as their attack could be, their defense is “suspicious” to say the least! They have some problems in control the tempo of the game – they tend to push forward every single offensive play and honestly, their biggest problem relies on the defensive side, especially on the wings. In the last game, the Dutch winger Arjen Robben single handedly destroyed them w/ his forward runs and it’s not difficult to imagine that Neymar will do the same in here.

Brazil is yet to establish themselves as the #1 favorite team to win it all in the field, but their pace on the front, and especially when they are counter attacking will be too much for this Chilean defensive line who tends to play high on the field.

Note that I don’t’ think that Brazil won’t suffer today… their defensive line has committed several individual errors so far in the tournament, and the Chilean forwards’ will make some damage coming off the wings w/ Alexis Sanchez and Vargas.

I expect Brazil to win this contest in a high scoring affair!

Note: for those you can't get this Brazil (-0.75) line, my suggestion is to split Brazil ML + Brazil (-1).

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Brazil (-0.75) @ -134 / 1.74 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -145 / 1.69 on Betonline)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 2.5 Goals @ -123 / 1.81 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -124 / 1.80 on 5 Dimes)