Soccer World Cup Play: Italy vs. Uruguay
***EARLY GAME***
Note that Italy has a better goal difference ratio, so if the game ends up tied, Italy will advance for the next round. Bottom line: Uruguay has to win in order to advanced while a draw is enough for the Italians.
This is a perfect set up for a potential low scoring game…
I expect Italy to be smart and play w/ a conservative mind set… after noticing their starting lineup, most likely they will use a 3-5-2 formation that basically is a 5-3-2 formation without the ball.
About Uruguay, I faded them in the last game vs. England with no success:
“Uruguay doesn’t have much talent on their midfield unit – their players have a phenomenal work-rate and work well defensively, but are limited offensively which puts some tremendous pressure on their frontline to generate offense. The problem is that Forlan has declined heavily in the last few years and more importantly, Luis Suarez isn’t @ 100%. His availability is still uncertain for this contest.”
Well, I was dead wrong about Luis Suarez! No shame about it! However, I expect Uruguay to struggle offensively vs. a packed Italian defensive line. They had tremendous problems to generate good chances vs. a defensive minded Costa Rica in the first game, and this packed Italian defensive line will expose (once again) the Uruguayans lack of creativity in the midfield.
Italy will put Balotelli and Immobile on the front, but their offense has been erratic in this World Cup. They don’t have much width on the wings especially because their wing-backs are defensive minded and so, I also expect them to struggle offensively.
We should have been dealing w/ a 2.25 Goals line and therefore, I’m taking the Under in here as my Single Dime Play!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Under 2.5 Goals @ -105 / 1.95 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -105 / 1.95 on Betonline)
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