Sunday, June 29, 2014

Soccer World Cup Free Play 06/28: Colombia vs. Uruguay

Soccer World Cup Play: Colombia vs. Uruguay

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

I was about to make a play w/ Colombia regardless the soap opera around Luis Suarez, but now that it is confirmed that Luis Suarez won’t play in here, I’ve just pulled the trigger and turn this play into a Triple Dime Play!

I had a play w/ Under in the last game of Uruguay against Italy, here are some notes about them:

“About Uruguay, I faded them in the last game vs. England with no success:

“Uruguay doesn’t have much talent on their midfield unit – their players have a phenomenal work-rate and work well defensively, but are limited offensively which puts some tremendous pressure on their frontline to generate offense. The problem is that Forlan has declined heavily in the last few years and more importantly, Luis Suarez isn’t @ 100%. His availability is still uncertain for this contest.”

Well, I was dead wrong about Luis Suarez! No shame about it! However, I expect Uruguay to struggle offensively vs. a packed Italian defensive line. They had tremendous problems to generate good chances vs. a defensive minded Costa Rica in the first game, and this packed Italian defensive line will expose (once again) the Uruguayans lack of creativity in the midfield.”

Once again (and even w/ Suarez), Uruguay had some huge problems to generate build-up plays against the Italian defense. Their lack of creativity on the midfield was well noticed and they really needed Suarez to make some “magic moves” for them because collectively, they just can’t do it. Note that their goal vs. Italy came from a set piece play.

However, not everything is bad about them! Their fighting spirit and defensive cohesion is tremendous, and primarily, this is why they are playing in here in the place of England and Italy.

The bad news for them is that unlike Italy and England, Colombia attacking fluidity is astonishing! Their playmaker James Rodriguez has been one of the best players of this tournament and their attacking midfield unit (Rodriguez, Cuadrado and Ibarbo) are playing quite well w/ great tempo and some beautiful passing plays between them. The difference of “dynamic” between this unit and the Uruguayans midfield unit is just huge!  As brave as the Uruguayan defensive line has been in the last 2 games, we are talking about another different level w/ the Colombian attack…

While I expect Colombia defense to do a reasonable job vs. Uruguay shorthanded forwards, I really don’t think Uruguay can hold the Colombians superior offensive skill set and therefore, I’m taking Colombia in here as my Triple Dime Play

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on Colombia ML @ +102 / 2.02 on Pinnacle Sports @ (OR +101 / 2.01 on 5 Dimes)

No comments:

Post a Comment