Saturday, June 21, 2014

Soccer World Cup Free Play 06/21: Argentina vs. Iran

Soccer World Cup Play: Argentina vs. Iran

We have a huge mismatch in this contest…

Despite playing against a team like Nigeria (far from being an elite team), Iran simply put 9/10 men packed in front of their GK trying to hold a 0-0 draw. They were successful w/ their game plan but this won’t work in here because unlike Nigeria's strikers, Argentina’s forwards are "world class", and they will find and create holes in Iran’s tight defense.

Argentina didn’t impress in the first game vs. Bosnia Herzegovina especially in the first half in which their NT coach for some reason played a 3-5-2 formation. Obviously, Bosnia came for that game w/ a defensive mindset and Argentina had way too many defensive-minded players on the field. Eventually, Argentina’s coach Sabella decided to put change their formation @ half time and inserted Gago & Higuain on the field and everything changed… Argentina’s attack looked more fluid and they created some scoring chances against a solid Bosnian team.

I expect Iran to completely be focused in defending in here… they will “park the bus”, but by playing so close of their GK… they will be prone to commit individual defensive errors, something normal when you are facing such skillful players like Messi, Aguero or Di Maria.  

My fair line for this contest is Argentina -2.5/-3 so, we have some value w/ this -2 line.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Argentina (-2) @ -101 / 1.99 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -108 / 1.92) on 5 Dimes

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