NBA - 509 Orlando Magic @ 510 Golden State Warriors
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
Projected line: 194 points
On
their game at Portland, Orlando used their precise ball movement to
generate a series of open looks beyond the 3pts line, torching the
league's best 3pts defense with 16-27 (59,3%) 3pts! "I thought our ball
movement was the best it has been early in the year," Magic coach Stan
Van Gundy said. "Our energy and ball movement was outstanding."
The inside-out passing from Howard was the key. In fact, this was
the 3rd time in the last 4 games that Orlando dished 24 or more assists!
For today, the formula will be the same: inside out game with Howard
and as the Magic's outside shooting is red shot right now, it won't be a
simple back to back game that will stop them!
For tonight, Golden State has Brown out for tonight (who is an
excellent 1*1 defender!) and Biedrins probable, after recovering from an
ankle injury. Basically, Golden State has nobody to go 1*1 vs Howard
and so, Orlando will have a huge edge down low, as the Warriors are also
just the #21 best defense in the league in post up plays! Against Miami
in their last game, Golden State played small ball with Nate, Ellis,
Rush/Udoh, Wright and Lee in the center position, with the same of that
game being super fast (95)!
I expect Golden State to push up the pace tonight, as they have no
chance against Howard on a slow paced game and they can do it, as with
their quick guards, they will be able to explore the slow footed
perimeter of Orlando. Even though the Warriors will struggle to score in
the paint, they should be okay, considering they only try 27% of their
shots at the rim anyway! With Orlando being red hot, I expect them to
have another great offensive game, while the Warriors should be able to
stay in the game by exploring the quickness of their backcourt, while
pushing up the pace at the same time. Therefore, I came up with a
projection of 194 points for this contest, high enough for me to take
the over in here in a Double Dime Play!
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 509/510 Over 187,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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