NBA - 801 Boston Celtics @ 802 Washington Wizards
Projected line: 188 points
Boston is on a reasonable physical spot and with Pierce their offense won't have any problems against Washington. The Wizards on their last 2 games allowed 101 and 102 points and they didn't allow more because Atlanta and Milwaukee clearly slowed down the pace on the 4th quarter, as they were already completely blowing out Washington. Boston has already showed against Detroit that they are an offensive top team and especially against lowly teams. The Wizards has been allowing so far 1.06 PPP (points per possession) on spot up plays and Boston has always been a top offensive team on this kind of plays, with Ray Allen being their specialist on these plays. Washington is showing terrible help defense this season and that will be highly exposed by the Celtics.
I expect Boston to have more than 110 on offensive effeciency and so the question is to know how the Wizards will perform on their own offense.The supposed big three of the team (Wall, Young and Blatche) was pathetic on their last game at Milwaukee by shooting a combined of 6-36 FG! So far on this season, the Wizards has only been successful on two kind of players: transition (1.05 PPP) and cuts (1.22 PPP) and curiously, Boston has been struggling in stopping exactly these two kind of plays by allowing 1.13 and 1.29 PPP on these plays respectively. Washington will be playing at home, with motivation and their game plan will be based on speeding up the game against Boston. My projections tell me that this game should have a totals line of 188 points and so, looking at the current line, I'll take the over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 801/802 Over 182,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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