NBA Free Premium Play 01/04: New Jersey Nets @ Boston Celtics

New Jersey  at Boston

NBA - 705 New Jersey Nets @ 706 Boston Celtics Projected line: Boston by 17 points With Deron Williams, Brook Lopez and Kris Humphries out, New Jersey will have to play a lineup of rookie Marshon Brooks, Sundiata Gaines, Damion James, Sheldon Williams and Mehmet Okur, with a bench with Jordan Farmar, Shawne Williams, Johan Petro and DeShawn Stevenson! According to basketballvalue.com, the Nets without Deron + Humphries have brutal numbers on the offensive efficiency: with Deron 94.5 off, without Deron 91.97 off; with Humphries: 102.68 off, without Humphries 75.51 off! The only good thing that the Nets are capable of doing well offensively is to grab offensive boards, but Humphries is the key piece in doing that and he will be out for this contest! New Jersey has been set up to play half court basketball and they are really dead last in transition efficiency with just 0.82 PPP! Besides the offensive boards, the only thing this team can do averagely are the P&R Ball Handler plays with 0.88 PPP, but Deron Williams is out for this contest! So, Boston will very easily stop their offense! On the other side, the well oiled Boston offensive machine won't have problems in scoring. New Jersey is the second worst defensive team in the league and they are coming from a game against the struggling offense of Indiana, were they shot 52.6% FG! On this case, the bench battle may be relevant for a potential backdoor cover. However, note that Boston is well rested for this contest and they won't play tomorrow! The 2nd unit of the Celtics is quite underrated with Brandon Bass, Marquis Daniels, Avery Bradley, who is outstanding on ball defender, and the rookie Greg Stiemsma! Therefore, I expect a clear blowout for the Celtics on this game, while completely shutting out the Nets offense, which will struggle huge time tonight. So, I'll be taking the Celtics in here for a very easy win. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 706 Boston Celtics (-13) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker