NBA Free Premium Play 01/01: Toronto Raptors @ 806 Orlando Magic

Toronto  at Orlando

NBA - 805 Toronto Raptors @ 806 Orlando Magic Projected line: 190 We all know how Orlando's offense works around Howard and the 3pts shooters. After a bad start, the Magic have been improving their 3pts%, even though their shooting in the 16-23 feet area continues poor. The question in here is to know if Toronto manages to be efficient on these areas! I expect some problems in the interior game for the Raptors, as even though the team has been putting some effort on this area on the first week of the season, however Cleveland, Indiana and Dallas don't have a consistent center player like Howard! On the outside, Toronto has been struggling for having a poor defense at the 16-23 feet area with 44% FG allowed, but with 51% eFG allowed on 3pts, which is not bad at all! Toronto has an improved defense this season, but Orlando will be a tough matchup for them! On the other side, Toronto may have some margin to breathe, as they are a perimeter team who doesn't near to score points near the area where Howard will be! Take a look at the shot locs of the Raptors: %Rim  %Short  %Mid  %Long  %3P 0.29    0.08     0.11     0.30    0.22 As we can see, the Raptors have a heavy % of shot locs on the outside and Orlando's defense on the outside is nowhere near as good as their interior defense, as they are currently allowing 40% eFG from 16-23 feet and 54% eFG from the 3pts line! So, Toronto should have the ability to score points tonight as well! Orlando has a game tomorrow at Detroit and they are coming from easy wins over lowly teams, so this is clearly a relax spot for them! Last season, Toronto won the head to head by 2-1, a clear sign that their mid-range shooting is tough for Orlando to handle! Considering these facts, I expect both teams to score some points tonight. So, I came up with a projection of 190 points, so I'll take the over in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 805/806 Over 185 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes