NBA Premium Card 03/29

NBA - 505 Los Angeles Clippers @ 506 Houston Rockets

Play #1 & #2

This Under play would be a Top Play in "normal conditions", but some late injuries from HOU made me downgrade the potential play for a Single Dime Play while I still like the Rockets in here @ this current line.

I expect this contest to have a good taste of “playoff atmosphere”.  Howard’s absence isn’t a big “deal” because O. Asik is a good player and he will protect the rim quite well. I understand that the same thing can’t be said about Beverly vs. Lin, but still, we are dealing w/ an improved HOU defense.

Without Howard, LAC defense will be more focused on HOU’s guards because Asik is a non-factor on the offensive end. HOU’s PNR’s won’t “offer” the same danger and so, LAC’s defense will defend HOU’s ball handlers pretty tight.

Finally, I really don’t like LAC spot and mindset for this contest! They are coming from a big game @DAL this past Thursday and they will play vs. shorthanded HOU team without Beverly & Howard – “too easy” mindset will work against them especially being this contest on the road!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 505/506 Under 216 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 506 Houston Rockets (-1) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

NBA - 507 Sacramento Kings @ 508 Dallas Mavericks

Play #3

SAC lost yesterday @OKC by “just” 13 points but the reality is that they were completely outplayed by OKC in both ends of the floor. Once again, OKC failed to reach the 20-assists marl as their ball movement was non-existent! I understand that I. Thomas didn’t play that game but still, SAC is really struggling in both ends of the floor with or without him. NOTE: he's listed so far as "game time decision".

They will catch a DAL team fired up to bounce back after losing vs. LAC in the last game. DAL will torch SAC’s awful perimeter defense w/ their great ball movement while defensively, with Dalembert playing well lately, DAL can defend Cousins @ decent rate.

We are dealing w/ a team fighting for the playoffs, rested and playing at home vs. a lowly team that lacks the proper mindset and especially the proper chemistry to be competitive.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 508 Dallas Mavericks (-10.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes