Thursday, March 20, 2014

NBA Free Premium Play 03/20: Washington Wizards @ Portland Trail Blazers

  
Washington  at Portland 
NBA - 705 Washington Wizards @ 706 Portland Trail Blazers

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In this contest we have two teams that are coming from OT games and so, a potential physical letdown isn’t out of sight in my opinion.

We are dealing w/ two teams that basically are jump shooting teams w/ few to little presence down low. LMA is OUT for POR while Nene Hilario will miss the game as well. POR is averaging just 37.8 pts per game in L8 games and coincidently, the Wizards are averaging the exact same number in L8 games.

With both teams primed to attempt a ton of outside jumpers, note that both WAS and POR are defending pretty well from 3pts in L10 games, WAS is allowing 35.7% (ranked #11 in the league during this stretch) while POR is allowing 34.8% (ranked #8).

Without Aldridge, the Blazers will run a ton of PNR’s and the Wizards defense is ranked #3 in the league defending those “plays”. Actually, the Wizards were able to defeat the Blazers at home early on the season mostly because they held POR to just 2-16 FG in PNR ball handler plays.

My fair line for this contest is 204 points and so, in my opinion we have the proper edge to play w/ Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 705/706 Under 207 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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