NBA Premium Card 03/18

NBA - 527 Washington Wizards @ 528 Sacramento Kings

Play #1

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

In my opinion, the matchup between the Kings and the Wizards completely favors a high scoring game and so, we have some great edge w/ Over @201 pts line.

Washington offense vs. Sacramento defense:

We all know that the Wizards’ offense relies on John Wall’s speed & 3pts shooting… Wall is playing great as of late and the Wizards are shooting 41.6% from 3pts in L10 games – ranked #5 in the league during this stretch.

The good news for WAS is that Wall will have some nice offensive edge in his matchup vs. Isaiah Thomas while SAC’s perimeter defense is just atrocious: they are allowing 40.7% from 3pts in L10 games – ranked #27 in the league!

Sacramento offense vs. Washington defense:

After missing the last game @MIN, D. Cousins will play tonight… I also expect SAC to play D. Williams or J. Thompson to play @PF in the place of R. Evans.

SAC isn’t a consistent outside shooting team, so they need to score near the basket @good rate in order to be effective. Well, this will happen tonight because WAS without Nene really don’t have a good interior defense. Do you really think that Gortat, Gooden, Al Harrington and/or Booker will slow down Cousins’ tonight? Good luck with that!

I expect this contest to be a fast tempo contest because the Kings will dictate the pace and the Wizards w/ Wall will be fine with that. With both teams having some great edges on the offensive end, my fair line for this contest is 208/210 points and so, I’m taking the Over in here as my Triple Dime Play.

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 527/528 Over 201 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

NBA - 529 Orlando Magic @ 530 Golden State Warriors

Play #2 & #3

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

A healthy ORL team is a decent one and for this contest, I expect them to be relatively competitive against a GSW team that is primed for a mini-letdown after such tough game @POR.

I had ORL+5 in their last game vs. WAS and they send the game to OT… their backcourt is decent w/ Nelson, Afflalo & Oladipo while their PNR game is really dangerous now that Vucevic is playing @ decent level. I think that they will explore David Lee’s awful defense to torch GSW via PNR’s.

ORL is also playing really fast as of late so IMO we are dealing w/ a potential “run and gun” game.

Obviously, I expect GSW to score w/ some ease vs. ORL’s bad defense. ORL perimeter defense has been subpar, so we can expect Curry & Klay Thompson to have some good offensive numbers.

I think that ORL is really underrated for this contest…they have 3 days off to rest and prepare this contest while they are decent right now. My fair line in here is a pure blowout line of 10 points for the Warriors while my fair totals line is 208/210 points.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 529 Orlando Magic (+13) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 529/530 Over 203.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NBA - 523 Toronto Raptors @ 524 Atlanta Hawks

Play #4

In my opinion, the Hawks are a tough matchup for the Raptors and now that they are “healthy”, they shouldn't be 3.5 pts underdogs at home.

I had a play w/ Over in the last game of TOR vs. PHX, and a key factor for the play was the fact that PHX’s mobile frontcourt would be a tough matchup for TOR due to their good shooting range. Eventually, TOR tried to play small ball vs. PHX, but they simply couldn’t stop them. TOR’s Patrick Patterson was OUT and he would really help TOR in that game as he is "more mobile" thank Valanciunas & Amir Johnson and he also shoots well from the outside.

Well, Patterson is still OUT for this contest and to make things even worse, ATL’s frontcourt w/ Millsap & Antic is somehow similar to PHX’s frontcourt as both players are great outside shooters, so the Raptors will struggle once again tonight.

I had a play w/ Atlanta last night @CHA… and I’ve said: “… the Hawks versatile frontline unit will also cause some problems to CHA’s defense”. BINGO!

Millsap dominated the game w/ 12-20 FG for 28 points while Antic & Mike Scott also helped the Hawks by scoring 21 points. I expect the Hawks to create similar offensive problems to TOR’s slow footed frontline.

On the other end, D. DeRozan is struggling a bit as of late and I expect D. Carroll to do a good defensive job guarding him. K. Lowry is playing some great basketball but he has to do too much for them IMO. ATL’s defense has improved considerably w/ Millsap & Antic on the starting line and so, I really think that the Hawks will be extremely competitive in here.

NOTE: the public is pounding the Raptors in this contest, so it's likely that sooner or later, ALL the books will be forced to put ATL @+3.5 points.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 524 Atlanta Hawks (+3.5) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada