Tuesday, March 25, 2014

NBA Free Premium Play 03/25: Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers

  
Toronto  at Cleveland 
NBA - 651 Toronto Raptors @ 652 Cleveland Cavaliers

***FREE Premium Play***


Despite playing without Kyrie Irving, the Cavaliers’ offense has been decent lately mostly because D. Waiters and J. Jack are finally playing aggressively on the offensive end. CLE completely torched NYK defense (especially in the second half) by shooting 60% from the field. They did their damage primarily via PNR’ plays by Waiters & Jack attacking off the dribble vs. slow footed NYK’s guards.

Obviously, TOR’s perimeter defense is way better vs. NYK but the TOR’s PNR ball handler defense as of late has been subpar (at best). In my opinion that is happening mostly because Lowry & DeRozan are playing so many minutes that their effort on the defensive end has been inconsistent. Also, Spencer Hawes could cause some problems to J. Valanciunas due to his good shooting range.

On the other side, the Raptors are coming from a nice win vs. ATL even though they struggled offensively in the first 3 quarters. I had a play w/ Under in that game and I really predicted such struggles because TOR was coming from a brutal effort in the previous game vs. OKC (double OT) and w/ early start, they wouldn’t be able to play their best basketball.

For this contest, I expect Lowry and DeRozan to have decent offensive numbers because as good Waiters & Jack are on the offensive end, the same thing simply cannot be said on the defensive end.

My fair line for this contest is 197/198 points and w/ the current totals line, we have the proper edge to make a play w/ OVER in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 651/652 Over 194.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

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