Monday, March 31, 2014

NBA Free Premium Play 03/31: New York Knicks @ Utah Jazz

  
New York  at Utah 
NBA - 747 New York Knicks @ 748 Utah Jazz

Play #3


Because the Hawks are imploding down the stretch, the Knicks have a great chance to grab the final seed for the playoffs but they just have to win games like today’s contest @UTA.

Both teams are playing @b2b spot and both had to travel so we are dealing w/ similar physical spot for both of them.

I understand that we should not trust the Knicks to be consistent but they really have a favorable matchup vs. the Jazz in here.

UTA’s perimeter defense is atrocious! In the L10 games, they are allowing 49.1% from 3pts land – FORTY NINE PERCENT! Obviously, this is the worst mark in the league during that stretch by a wide margin (ranked #29 DEN is allowing 40.7%).

We all know that NYK attempts a ton of treys per game so I expect them to explore this massive UTA’s defensive weakness. Also, after facing Andre Iguodala last night, Carmelo Anthony will face R. Jefferson in this contest – also a favorable matchup.

On the other end, UTA keeps playing w/ Kanter & Favors as their starters on the frontcourt. With both players on the court at the same time, UTA’s offensive numbers have been terrible because their floor spacing is subpar in a similar way of HOU’s situation w/ Howard & Asik early on the season. Amare Stoudemire has been decent lately and I expect NYK’s to match well vs. UTA’s big men.

With NYK having a substantial edge on the perimeter, I expect them to win this contest by a safe margin.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 747 New York Knicks (-3.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

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