Sunday, March 2, 2014

NBA Free Premium Plays 03/02: Golden State Warriors @ Toronto Raptors

  
Golden State  at Toronto 
NBA - 803 Golden State Warriors @ 804 Toronto Raptors

Play #1 & #2


GSW is coming from a pure offensive demolition over the Knicks in the last game by scoring 126 points and having Off. Rtg. = 120.8! However, let’s not forget that they were facing the… Knicks – ranked #27 in defending 3pts% (ranked #29 in L10 games); ranked #30 defending P&R ball handler plays & ranked #29 defending transition plays. Obviously, GSW torched NYK defense in all these 3 areas for an easy win.

Hardly, this will happen today against the Raptors because we are dealing w/ a TOR defense that is allowing 32.7% 3pts in L10 games (ranked #7 in the league) and is ranked #4 defending P&R Ball Handler Plays. Facing R. Felton is way different than facing K. Lowry and I expect GSW to have a natural offensive letdown in this contest.

The good news for GSW is that their defense is playing @ extreme high level and I expect them to be even better against TOR today.

First of all, note that there are several Raptors’ players banged up right now: Amir Johnson is still dealing w/ a bad ankle while K. Lawry & T. Ross sprained their ankles in the last game vs. WAS as well…

TOR offense is PNR heavy while they are mostly a jump shooting team like GSW… Well, GSW is allowing just 32.5% 3pts in L10 games - #4 best mark in the league while their PNR has clearly improved now that they are healthy.
I expect Iguodala to match up w/ DeRozan in here while K. Lowry will be busy to defend S. Curry…

A couple of weeks ago, TOR would have a substantial edge w/ 2nd unit over GSW, but I don’t think that this potential edge is so clear right now b/c GSW bench now w/ S. Blake, Barnes, Green & Jermaine O’Neal played great @NYK in the last game.

I’m taking the Warriors in this contest in a relatively low scoring game.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 803 Golden State Warriors (-2) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 803/804 Under 202 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

No comments:

Post a Comment