Tuesday, March 11, 2014

NBA Free Premium Play 03/11: Houston Rockets @ Oklahoma City Thunder

  
Houston  at Oklahoma City 
NBA - 561 Houston Rockets @ 562 Oklahoma City Thunder

Play #6


OKC has won the first 2 H2H’s so far in this season and actually they have been dominating HOU since James Harden was traded. However, note that in the first 2 H2H’s games, OKC was rested while HOU was playing @b2b spot in BOTH games! In the first game, James Harden and Dwight Howard combined for 17 points on 6-22 shooting, as Houston lost 117-86. In the second contest, it was that epic HOU collapse in the second half as they scored only 19 points in the entire half!

What will change for tonight?!

Well, first of all, OKC defense has been pretty awful lately and this isn’t a mere case of “bad effort”! They are allowing way too many wide open shots and they are doubling in the post without any kind of discipline!

Because HOU has Dwight Howard in the post and Perkins is still injured, OKC will have to double Howard down low, and this will create some good looks for HOU’s shooters! Also, James Harden is usually defended by Thabo Sefolosha and guess what… Sefolosha is injured and will miss tonight’s game!

Without Perkins and Thabo, HOU’s 2 best players will have some individual edge in their matchups and ultimately this will make the difference as I expect the Rockets to be extremely competitive tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 561 Houston Rockets (+5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

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