Friday, March 23, 2012

NBA Premium Play 03/22: Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks


NBA - 803 Boston Celtics @ 804 Milwaukee Bucks

Projected line: 204 points

Milwaukee is coming from a road win in Portland, where they took advantage of the Blazers very poor performance, including 20 turnovers, to crush them with 13-16 FG in transitions and 21 fast break points. The Bucks with their very interesting offense really crushed Portland. Their offense has been really explosive lately and they have dished 32, 38, 33 and 35 assists in their last 4 games! Milwaukee's early offense has been very effective with a lot of fast break points and in their last 4 games, they have been averaging 15.2 fast break points per game and 123 in offensive rates! 

On this game against the Celtics, I expect Milwaukee to have another good offensive night. Boston has been struggling to defend fast paced teams with early offense and Golden State, Sacramento and Denver really crushed them with very quick transition plays, something that the Bucks will very effectively use today. Besides that, Milwaukee will have a huge rebounding edge on this contest plus they'll also have a lot more depth in the frontcourt. I believe the Bucks will have no problems in scoring tonight, while the Celtics should also be able to produce some offense on their own, with Rondo leading the way. I expect a very good offensive production by both teams today and so, I'll take the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 803/804 Over 198,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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