Saturday, March 17, 2012

NBA Premium Play 03/16: Toronto Raptors @ Memphis Grizzlies


NBA - 809 Toronto Raptors @ 810 Memphis Grizzlies

Projected line: 183 points | Memphis by 6 points

Even though Zach Randolph is returning tonight, he won't be in good conditions to play and also Gay is coming from a concussion. Memphis is pounding again down low, but Toronto is a great rim defender, so this won't be an easy game for them to score easy shots. Note that in the last head to head, even though it was a high scoring game, Memphis shot just 14-27 FG at the rim, however they had a super red hot outside game with 11-18 FG from 16-23 feet and 4-11 3pts. They took advantage of their transition plays with 8-14 FG. Today with a rusty Zach, I expect the Grizzlies to struggle offensively on the inside, even though they may make some damage on the transitions and in the perimeter. 

Toronto's offense has lost Barbosa and Bayless is starting and they have little scoring punch coming off the bench, just Kleiza! Bargnani is still quite inconsistent and their perimeter can't handle the pressure to score. Therefore, I expect an ugly game, with both teams struggling offensively, making the game closer than expected. So, I'll take both Toronto and the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 809/810 Under 187 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 809 Toronto Raptors (+10) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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