Sunday, March 18, 2012

NBA Premium Play 03/17: Boston Celtics @ Denver Nuggets


NBA - 513 Boston Celtics @ 514 Denver Nuggets

Projected line: 193 points

Boston is coming from a game where they were crushed by Sacramento, while showing a lot of problems in stopping the transitions of the Kings who scored 32 fast break points. To make things worse, the Kings were simply onfire from the outside  with 11-23 FG from 16-23 feet and 9-21 3pts. From mid-3Q, Boston simply gave up on the game and began focusing on today's game at Denver.

The Nuggets will also have a clear edge on transitions against a veteran team from Boston, however Denver is really struggling to hit shots from the outside. The Nuggets prefer to attack the rim, but the Celtics continue to be a good rim defensive team by allowing just 59% FG. On the other hand, Boston should also struggle on offense due to the bad spot, as on similar bad spots this season, Boston is averaging just 102 on offensive rates, while they are averaging 101 defensive rates. The Celtics will try to set a slow pace game in here and therefore, I don't expect this game to don't have a great offensive production from neither team. I'll taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 513/514 Under 197 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

No comments:

Post a Comment