Saturday, July 5, 2014

Soccer World Cup Premium Play 07/05: Argentina vs. Belgium

Soccer World Cup Play: Argentina vs. Belgium

I expect this contest to be wide open and fun to watch…

Argentina (once again) struggled to win and defeated Switzerland only in the extra time (Di Maria scored the decisive goal @117th min). Their usual attacking problems of lack of width on the wings showed up once again as the Swiss defense did a great job in covering the center of the midfielder (w/ Inler and Behrami) where Argentina is really dangerous w/ the forwards runs of Messi.

The Swiss made only one mistake all game in not putting the proper men in their defensive midfield and what happened then? Answer: Argentina’s goal!

The good news for Argentina is that Belgium plays w/ 3 offensive minded midfielders that don’t have the same tactical discipline to cover the ground in their defensive zone. This was pretty clear in the last game vs. USA where Fellaini & Witsel gave way to much central space when USA had the ball. This lack of defensive positioning from these two players will be the X factor of this contest because this is Argentina’s strongest link offensively.

However, I also expect Belgium’s attack to do some damage… their offensive display against team USA was impressive even though they wasted way too many chances to score. Their tremendous pace and tempo in the front will be a problem for Argentina’s lack of speed especially on the wings.

Argentina’s superior talent will make the difference in this contest while both attacks have some edge in their matchups, so I expect both teams to score at least one goal.

Split the wager 33%/33%/33% like it was 2 "Single Dime Plays":

Pick: 2 units (Single Dime Play) on Argentina (-0.25) @ -114 / 1.88 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -120 / 1.83 on Betonline)

Pick: 2 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 2 Goals @ -127 / 1.79 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -135 / 1.74 on Betonline)


Pick: 2 units (Single Dime Play) on Both Teams to Score @ +101 / 2.01 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -110 / 1.91 on Betonline)

No comments:

Post a Comment