MLB - 909 Washington Nationals @ 910 Colorado Rockies
(Starting Pitchers: D. Fister vs. F. Morales)
Play #1
COL’s starting pitcher Franklin Morales’ numbers are just terrible. Not only his 5.47 ERA number for the season is atrocious, but also his advanced numbers aren’t pretty at all: 4.63 SIERA, 5.61 FIP & 4.53 xFIP! He also combines a poor K/BB ratio of 1.70 & 17.1% HR/FB rate = FADE MATERIAL!
However, he is coming from b2b decent starts in which he allowed just 1 ER’s in each game vs. LAD & SD. Still, his P/IP’s numbers in those 2 starts were high (17.3 & 17.8) and prevented him to reach the 6th IP in both games. I just can’t ignore the fact that he has faced two subpar offensive teams in #28 ranked LAD & dead last #30 SD offenses vs. LHP’s (OPS ranks).
The Nationals are way better as they are ranked #8 vs. LHP in the season. They are confident w/ 4-1 SU record in L5 games and they have hit + .300 BA in their L4 games. I expect them to do some serious damage vs. Morales tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over TT Washington 5.5 Runs (w/ D. Fister) @ -130 / 1.77 on Betonline
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