MLB - 953 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 954 Cincinnati Reds
(Starting Pitchers: W. Miley vs. A. Simon)
***FREE PREMIUM PLAY***
I’ve made a play w/ ARI in Miley’s last start that was lost (it wasn’t even close)!
“Wade Miley has been outstanding lately! His stats line in this month says it all: .194 BA / 2.20 FIP / 2.50 xFIP / 26.6% K% & 4.6% BB! Wow! Note that he has faced CHC, SF & ATL in his L3 starts and these 3 teams are pretty decent vs. LHP’s this season by being ranked #5, #12 & #7, and still, Miley did pretty well against them! PHI offense is ranked just #23 and they are prone to be K’ed quite a lot (ranked #20 in the season w/ 21.1% K%), so I expect Miley to be decent tonight.”
Bad days happen and I expect him to bounce back today against a CIN offense that is ranked #22 OPS vs. LHP’s, is batting .186 BA in L10 games vs. LHP’s and has a putrid mark of 25.7 K% - ranked #29 in the league!
On the other end, Alfredo Simon is primed to regress a bit in this season half, and this regression process has already started because he struggled in his L2 starts coming off the All Star break! His 2.86 ERA mark does not go well alongside w/ 4.06 SIERA / 4.33 FIP & 3.97 xFIP numbers!
I have Wade Miley way above Alfredo Simon in my Power Rankings, and w/ the way the Reds are struggling offensively lately, I’m taking the Diamondbacks in here as my Single Dime Play!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 953 Arizona Diamondbacks ML (w/ W. Miley) @ +107 / 2.07 on Betonline
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