Friday, July 4, 2014

Soccer World Cup Premium Play 07/04: France vs. Germany

Soccer World Cup Play: France vs. Germany

We definitely got the best price w/ France as basically the books are now offering this contest as a pure 50/50 game while we got them w/ nice +0.25 line.

We are dealing w/ two of the best teams of the competition. Both teams have a fluid offensive style w/ good passing and they use quite a lot their wing-backs to create more width on their game.

The Germans struggled offensively in the last game vs. Algeria mostly because their NT coach Joachim Low is “in love” in playing P. Lahm as a center midfield instead of using him as right full-back. He used Mustafi for that position, and he was worthless on the offensive end because he really doesn’t have much offensive skills that could help the team. Eventually, Low benched him, bring back Khedira and finally put Lahm @ RB position and everything changed for them! They created several chances to win the game in regulation and scored 2 goals in extra time! I’ve just checked their starting lineup for today and Lahm will indeed start @RB! = It helps our “OVER” plays

France has been one of my favorite teams so far in the tournament… I had a top play in their last game vs. Nigeria:

“I really love France’s midfield trio on the center of the field w/ Matuidi, Pogba and Cabaye. These three players can defend and attack with great quality, and they impose a great tempo to the game – something pivotal in today’s preferred style of play. Ribery is gone, but it looks like Benzema “connects” pretty well with Olivier Giroud on the front as both players are great passers despite being strikers.”

Their offensive flow has been a joy to watch - probably the best team in the whole Tournament! In the last game against Ecuador, even though they rested some players and didn’t put 100% full effort on the game, they created a ton of good chances to score but their finishing ability in that particular day was subpar.”

France struggled early on the game… Giroud didn’t work well w/ Benzema in that game and France’s NT coach Deschamps made the KEY tactical move @ 62th min, when he benched Giroud and replaced him w/ Griezmann… The French completely dominated the game in the last 25 minutes while creating plenty of chances to score. Again, I’ve just checked their starting lineup for today and Griezmann will start today! = It helps our “OVER” plays

Why France then? Well, I think that they are more organized defensively than the Germans who are allowing their opponents to have some great chances to score. I also think that France will have a small physical edge over Germany. After all, Germany is coming from an OT game vs. Algeria while France played earlier only 90min vs. Nigeria, and this could make the difference late in the game!

Split the wager 33%/33%/33% like it was 2 "Single Dime Plays":

Pick: 2 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 2 Goals @ -128 / 1.78 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -130 / 1.77 on Betonline)

Pick: 2 units (Single Dime Play) on Both Teams to Score @ +102 / 2.02 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -110 / 1.91 on Betonline)

Pick: 2 units (Single Dime Play) on France (+0.25) @ -125 / 1.80 on Betonline)

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