Wednesday, July 23, 2014

MLB Free Premium Play 07/23: Cleveland Indians @ Minnesota Twins

MLB - 913 Cleveland Indians @ 914 Minnesota Twins

(Starting Pitchers: T. Bauer 
vs. A. Swarzak)

Play #1

***Early Start***

Last night, we cashed w/ CLE both ML & RL plays as our Top Play of the day, and I’m backing them once again today in this early contest.

CLE will send Trevor Bauer to the mound and I expect him to be decent vs. MIN’s offense. Bauer has been solid and consistent all season long, but lately he has been even better w/ 2.27 FIP & 3.73 xFIP numbers in this current month (4 starts). Even though his 1-3 record & 5.29 ERA numbers on the road aren’t pretty, note that his L2 road starts were @LAD & @DET (two super tough matchups), and he was decent allowing 3 ER’s in both contests.

On the other end, I expect CLE offense to make some damage vs. Swarzak.

CLE has some nice hitting numbers against him: he had a 1-5 career mark w/ 7.34 ERA while allowing CLE batters to hit .343 against him in 16 appearances.

X factor IMO: his career numbers vs. LH batters are just atrocious w/ .330 wOBA + 4.70 FIP + 5.00 xFIP!

Well, like I've said yesterday, CLE is ranked #4 vs. RHP’s this season, and their lineup will be loaded w/ LH bats, ready to make some damage today, and obviously, I’m taking CLE once again today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 913 Cleveland Indians ML (w/ T. Bauer) @ -126 / 1.79 on 5 Dimes

No comments:

Post a Comment