Tuesday, July 22, 2014

MLB Free Premium Play 07/22: New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners

MLB - 979 New York Mets @ 980 Seattle Mariners

(Starting Pitchers: J. deGrom 
vs. E. Ramirez)

***FREE PREMIUM Play***

I understand that it is tough to cash w/ OVER in games involving the Mariners b/c the UNDER is 55-40-4 so far in the season, but I think that we have a good chance tonight…

NYM’s SP Jacob deGrom has some good numbers to show for the season w/ 3.18 ERA, 3.25 FIP & 3.45 xFIP! He has a great 23.5% K% mark for the season and his last 3 starts were amazing in that regard as he compiled 27 K’s vs. just 4 BB’s! However, I just can’t ignore the fact that he has faced ATL twice and MIA in those 3 games, and these teams are ranked #25 & #29 in K%’s! He had some pretty favorable matchups and indeed he took care of the job. SEA is ranked #9 in K% in L14 days and they are coming from a nice 14-hits outburst from last night. I expect deGrom to struggle a bit in here.

On the other side, SEA will send Erasmo Ramirez to the mound. Ramirez has some awful numbers to show w/ 4.58 ERA, 5.71 FIP & 4.93 xFIP! His command has been even worst w/ 1.45 K/BB ratio. This is where I like the Mets to be decent offensively! NYM has been a patient lineup all season long! They are ranked #4 in BB% w/ 9.1% & in L30 days = #9 w/ 8.9% BB%! I expect them to put some extra pressure on Ramirez and obviously, I’m taking the OVER in here!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 7 (w/ J. deGrom & E. Ramirez) @ -125 / 1.80 on Bookmaker

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